We can now finally pick 10 games. 10 real football games with numbers against the spread. The season is really, really here.
Miami -14.5 versus UAB
The Blazers got into a shootout last time out with FCS Central Arkansas. They’ll be going against a Manny Diaz defense that will be a lot tougher to score on than the Bears. Miami’s glaring weakness last year was their offense, and the addition of D’Eriq King should help them shore up that issue enough to an easy cover against UAB.
Army -20.5 vs. ULM
Service academies cover, and I don’t see myself abandoning the mantra against a team playing Army in its first game coming off a 5-7 season.
Clemson -33.0 at Wake Forest
Though it’s the first game for both of these teams, and Clemson always seems to take some time to get rolling out of the gate, I think Clemson is such a talent-rich well-oiled machine that they can cruise to a five score win. If Trevor Lawrence doesn’t have it working, Travis Etienne very likely will.
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Coastal Carolina +7.0 at Kansas
Last year, the Chanticleers defeated the Pooka Williams and the Jayhawks in Lawrence by a score of 12-7. This year, the game is in front of an empty Kansas Memorial Stadium with a 9 p.m. kickoff. That means weird things are going to happen. Brent Dearmon’s offense will probably make this game a higher scoring affair than 12-7, though.
Georgia Tech +12.5 at Florida State
I’m not sure how much growing up an extremely young Seminoles team was able to do under new head coach Mike Norvell, but something similar can be said about Geoff Collins’ second year squad in Atlanta. This one’s for you, @Duke Silver
Texas State -8.5 vs UTSA
Games between two teams with similar talent levels, but with one team playing its second game instead of its season debut, should benefit the team on game two. That’s Texas State in this case, and they should have some players available who were held out of their close game with SMU due to COVID-19 concerns. The Jeff Traylor era may not have a strong start, but the future looks pretty good.
South Alabama +8.0 vs Tulane
Second game theory again, but I think Tulane 1) wins and 2) has their running offense working pretty well early in the year.
Louisville -12.0 vs WKU
Louisville surprised people last year with a solid bounce back from the Bobby Petrino era. I think that continues and the Cardinals make the two touchdown number against a WKU team trying to make its own ascent.
Kansas State -10.5 vs Arkansas State
Balanced teams with good secondary players and senior quarterbacks will be tough to handle in 2020. Arkansas State has played their first game, but they fell to a more talented Memphis team. I think Kansas State can do something similar.
App. St -17.0 vs Charlotte
App. State is one of the best G5 schools in the country, and Charlotte is still growing into its role as a G5 school.