Ten Against the Spread: Week 7

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Games are beginning to creep earlier and earlier into the week. Tonight, we’ve got App State and Louisiana-Lafayette to open up the week’s slate of games.

Looks like I’ll have to make sure I get this posted continuously on Wednesday afternoons, and possibly bump it to Tuesday to make sure MACtion and Fun Belt games are considered.

After six weeks, I can’t seem to win or lose more than six games. I’m stuck. Hopefully the stretch run of the season is a strong one for me.


Georgia -25.0 vs. South Carolina

The Dawgs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 and 8-2 overall. They’ll continue to run through the SEC East and won’t face a challenge until Florida or Auburn.

Toledo -26.5 at Bowling Green

Toledo has a propensity for scoring, Bowling Green has a propensity for losing.

Central Michigan -10.5 vs. New Mexico State

CMU is 3-3 with two of their losses to Miami (FL) and Wisconsin. The Aggies haven’t won a game and have been pummeled whenever they’ve had to make long road trips to Pullman, WA and Tuscaloosa, AL. Mount Pleasant, MI isn’t one of those two places, but it’s still a long way for a poor football team to travel.

Army -5.0 at Western Kentucky

One score win for Army seems very plausible.

Washington -6.0 vs. Arizona

Though there are problems in Seattle, I believe they won’t cause enough trouble to where Sumlin’s Wildcats will be able to overcome a one-score margin.

Virginia +2.5 at Miami (FL)

I did a double-take at this one.

Mississippi State -7.0 at Tennessee

The Vols are 3-7 ATS in their last ten. They aren’t good, and while Mississippi State isn’t a world-beater, they seem to have things figured out enough to surpass the one-score line.

Wisconsin -11 vs. Michigan State

I think Vegas is banking on this game being 14-3 or maybe closer to 24-13 with the total set at 40.0.

Fresno State +3.5 at Air Force

I think the Fresno defense comes through against the option.

Nevada -2.0 vs. San Jose State

Both these teams seem very Jekyll and Hyde, so I’ll side with Jay Norvell’s squad.